
Winner of France’s presidential election
- Marine Le Pen50%
- Édouard Philippe26%
- Jordan Bardella18%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon11%
- Gabriel Attal9%
- Dominique de Villepin9%

What price will Hyperliquid hit in October?
- Reach $10424%
- Reach $10035%
- Reach $9668%
- Dip to $8499%
- Dip to $8050%
- Dip to $7630%
- Dip to $7222%

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
- Harry Kane53%
- Lamine Yamal38%
- Kylian Mbappé5%
- Lionel Messi3%
- Rodri3%
- Osmane Dembelé3%

Brazil’s Next President Elect
- Flávio Bolsonaro86%
- Lula14%
- Tarcísio de Freitas2%
- Eduardo Leite2%
- Aldo Rebelo1%
- Renan Santos1%
- Ratinho Júnior1%
- Romeu Zema1%

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil's 2026 presidential election?

Virginia's 1st congressional district election winner
- Republican Party55%
- Democratic Party45%

Bitcoin Price up or down today: $83,048.75

S&P 500 (SPX) close at the final trading day of 2026
- Below 6,0002%
- Between 6,000 and 6,5001%
- Between 6,500 and 7,0003%
- Between 7,000 and 7,50030%
- Between 7,500 and 8,00022%
- 8,000 or above42%

Brazil Selic rate decision — November 2026 COPOM meeting
- 50+ bps decrease5%
- 25 bps decrease84%
- No change10%
- 25 bps increase1%
- 50+ bps increase1%

Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district election winner
- Democratic Party72%
- Republican Party28%

Which company will have the best AI model at the end of 2026?
- Anthropic48%
- Google40%
- OpenAI10%
- DeepSeek2%
- xAI3%
- Meta2%

Will Ukraine recognize the separation of any portion of its territory in 2026?

Brazil monthly inflation (IPCA) — October 2026
- 0.19% or less5%
- Between 0.20% and 0.29%14%
- Between 0.30% and 0.39%25%
- Between 0.40% and 0.49%21%
- 0.50% or more34%

Next James Bond (after "No Time To Die")
- Jack Lowden50%
- Regé-Jean Page20%
- Nicholas Hoult17%
- Robert Pattinson14%
- Michael B Jordan3%
- Daniel Kaluuya3%
- Daniel Craig ...Again3%
- John Boyega3%

Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026?
- Kristi Noem32%
- Pete Hegseth26%
- Howard Lutnick25%
- Peter Navarro25%
- Kash Patel23%
- RFK Jr.23%
- Brendan Carr13%
- Marco Rubio5%

Elected governor of Amazonas in 2026?
- Omar Aziz82%
- Professora Maria do Carmo18%

Acre governor election
- Mailza Assis97%
- Alan Rick3%

Argentina monthly inflation: September
- 1.5% or less1%
- Between 1.6% and 1.8%10%
- Between 1.9% and 2.1%86%
- Between 2.2% and 2.4%3%
- 2.5% or more1%

Israel’s next prime minister after the 2026 election
- Gadi Eisenkot52%
- Benjamin Netanyahu37%
- Naftali Bennett8%

Fed interest rate decision — October 2026
- 50+ bps decrease1%
- 25 bps decrease1%
- No change83%
- 25 bps increase16%
- 50+ bps increase1%

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- PayPal20%
- Perplexity AI16%
- eBay15%
- Snapchat14%
- GitLab13%
- Ubisoft10%
- Anthropic7%
- OpenAI7%

What will be the price of Bitcoin at the end of 2026?
- Below $ 60,0005%
- Between $ 60,000 and $ 74,999.9927%
- Between $ 75,000 and $ 89,999.9950%
- Between $ 90,000 and $ 104,999.9911%
- $ 105,000 or higher6%

Boca Juniors vs. Vasco da Gama
- Boca Juniors59%
- Tie29%
- Vasco da Gama20%

World’s largest company at the end of 2026
- Nvidia85%
- Apple12%
- Alphabet3%
- Microsoft1%
- Tesla1%
- Amazon1%
- Saudi Aramco1%

Montana's 1st congressional district election winner
- Republican Party70%
- Democratic Party30%

Will Putin meet with Trump in 2026?

MSCI World Index performance in 2026
- Less than 0%7%
- More than 0%, less than 5%11%
- Between 5% and 10%17%
- Above 10%65%

How many of these 15 top US executive branch officials will be out before 2027?
- 3 or less43%
- 4 to 629%
- 7 to 913%
- 10 to 129%
- 13 to 155%

Companies to go public in 2026
- Anthropic76%
- Kraken13%
- Revolut10%
- Canva8%
- OpenAI4%
- DataBricks4%
- Stripe3%
- SpaceX91%

Colorado's 5th congressional district election winner
- Republican Party70%
- Democratic Party30%

Winner of Israel's legislative election
- Yashar50%
- Likud50%
- Together3%

Bill 2633/20 (a.k.a. "PL da Grilagem") approved in Brazil's Congress by the end of 2026?

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
- Reach $97,5009%
- Reach $95,00014%
- Reach $92,50024%
- Reach $90,00037%
- Reach $87,50054%
- Dip to $82,50098%
- Dip to $80,00067%
- Dip to $77,50044%

How high will the 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Hit 4.8%99%
- Hit 5.0%99%
- Hit 5.2%99%
- Hit 5.5%46%
- Hit 5.7%27%
- Hit 6.0%3%

Texas's Senate election winner
- Democratic Party62%
- Republican Party38%

What price will WTI Crude Oil hit in October?
- Reach $1155%
- Reach $1109%
- Reach $10516%
- Reach $10034%
- Reach $9563%
- Dip to $8566%
- Dip to $8039%
- Dip to $7518%

What price will Ethereum hit in October?
- Reach $3,20010%
- Reach $3,10012%
- Reach $3,00018%
- Reach $2,90025%
- Reach $2,80044%
- Dip to $2,50098%
- Dip to $2,40058%
- Dip to $2,30036%

US Core PCE inflation (year-over-year) — September
- 2.7% or less12%
- 2.80%3%
- 2.90%3%
- 3.00%55%
- 3.10%21%
- 3.20%4%
- 3.3% or more2%

Palmeiras vs. Corinthians
- Palmeiras67%
- Tie24%
- Corinthians15%

Formula 1 Drivers Champion
- Kimi Antonelli98%
- George Russel4%
- Lewis Hamilton3%
- Lando Noris3%
- Charles Leclerc2%
- Max Verstappen2%
- Oscar Piastri2%