Average annual rise in sea level in the next report prepared by the IPCC Between 3.21 mm to 3.7 mm: real money 46%, play money 62% Between 3.71 mm to 4.2 mm: real money 19%, play money 15% Greater than 4.21 mm: real money 19%, play money 11% 3.2 mm or less: real money 15%, play money 11% Volume: real money 316.75459546, play money 17381.5251826 Bettors: real money 23, play money 60 Categories: Science, Environmental Indicators Related markets Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? (ID: 134871) Volume: real 965.16141894, play 508517.50310836 Bettors: real 43, play 1223 Leading (real money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 62% Leading (play money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 51% Will 2026 be the warmest year on record? (ID: 231553) Volume: real 355.16543545, play 68005.51887073 Bettors: real 11, play 26 Leading (real money): Will 2026 be the warmest year on record? 67% Leading (play money): Will 2026 be the warmest year on record? 78% Average global surface air temperature anomaly in 2026 relative to the pre-industrial baseline? (ID: 239446) Volume: real 614.45565682, play 3260.7021384 Bettors: real 14, play 8 Leading (real money): Between 1.43 °C and 1.47 °C (inclusive) 38% Leading (play money): Between 1.43 °C and 1.47 °C (inclusive) 48%

Average annual rise in sea level in the next report prepared by the IPCC

Market Rules

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) gathers every six years all the existing scientific literature in the field of climate and publishes a document that presents the global consensus on the effects of human activity on global warming. In 2021, the sixth report brought a series of data and forecasts for the coming decades.

With high confidence, the report observed that the oceans are rising more and more, nearing 4.2 mm per year. It also takes for granted that such levels will continue to rise, with the possibility of reaching up to 1.01 m by the end of the century, in the worst-case scenario.

The next IPCC is expected to take place in 2028 and will reveal whether the rise in sea levels was more or less intense that what had been predicted in 2021.

The alternative that contains the average annual rise in sea level between 2021 and 2027 will be considered the winning outcome of this market. This market will be resolved based on the IPCC report from 2028.

Tags

Comments

  • pabloabdelhay: Less!!!!

People also viewed