Mike Johnson still Speaker of the House at the end of 2026? Yes: real money 59%, play money 59% No: real money 41%, play money 41% Volume: real money 220.15563904, play money 22900.011 Bettors: real money 5, play money 4 Categories: Politics, USA, Congress Related markets Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026? (ID: 231765) Volume: real 925.24553164, play 127895.40979507 Bettors: real 65, play 85 Leading (real money): Tulsi Gabbard 86% Leading (play money): Tulsi Gabbard 97% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2609.78775908, play 114986.66327483 Bettors: real 39, play 211 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 74% Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 2044.86415693, play 36521.10714014 Bettors: real 22, play 83 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 46% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 36% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3007.5194239, play 137081.00274465 Bettors: real 30, play 209 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 11% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 57% Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? (ID: 161037) Volume: real 2001.91661259, play 255081.72083213 Bettors: real 43, play 549 Leading (real money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 8% Leading (play money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 20%

Mike Johnson still Speaker of the House at the end of 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether Mike Johnson will remain Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives through December 31, 2026. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official records of the U.S. House of Representatives confirming the Speakership.

If Mike Johnson officially remains Speaker of the House through the end of December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If he is formally removed, resigns, or is replaced through a process recognized under U.S. House rules before that date, the market will resolve to "No" at the moment of the official action. If official records are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major U.S. news organizations. Resolution will reflect substantive holding of the Speakership, not procedural disputes. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

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