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Will Palestine become a full member of the United Nations by the end of 2026? Yes: real money 8%, play money 10% No: real money 92%, play money 90% Volume: real money 360.96200527, play money 34990.00265834 Bettors: real money 8, play money 9 Categories: Politics, Middle East, Israel Related markets Binyamin Netanyahu still Prime Minister of Israel through the end of 2026? (ID: 231583) Volume: real 288.00907639, play 26694.51962888 Bettors: real 10, play 13 Leading (real money): Binyamin Netanyahu still Prime Minister of Israel through the end of 2026? 54% Leading (play money): Binyamin Netanyahu still Prime Minister of Israel through the end of 2026? 53% Iran leadership change by...? (ID: 235762) Volume: real 483.95772183, play 45932.12877988 Bettors: real 16, play 20 Leading (real money): December 31 30% Leading (play money): December 31 32% Will a US-Iran nuclear control deal be signed in 2026? (ID: 231622) Volume: real 671.16411869, play 91521.13382509 Bettors: real 13, play 21 Leading (real money): Will a US-Iran nuclear control deal be signed in 2026? 40% Leading (play money): Will a US-Iran nuclear control deal be signed in 2026? 54% Will Iran no longer be an Islamic Republic by the end of 2026? (ID: 231628) Volume: real 376.50396872, play 34966.10963707 Bettors: real 11, play 27 Leading (real money): Will Iran no longer be an Islamic Republic by the end of 2026? 8% Leading (play money): Will Iran no longer be an Islamic Republic by the end of 2026? 14%

Will Palestine become a full member of the United Nations by the end of 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether Palestine will be admitted as a full member state of the United Nations at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the official decision of the United Nations General Assembly admitting Palestine as a full member.

If the UN General Assembly admits Palestine as a full member state during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Observer state status or any status short of full membership will not count. If official UN documentation is unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international news organizations. Resolution will reflect the substantive admission outcome, not partial or interim statuses. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

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