Markets
Leaderboard
Will a new legislative election be called in France in 2026? Yes: real money 38%, play money 39% No: real money 62%, play money 61% Volume: real money 299.71631415, play money 28600.0017 Bettors: real money 7, play money 1 Categories: Politics, Europe, France Related markets Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2609.78775908, play 114986.66327483 Bettors: real 39, play 211 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 74% Brazil’s Next President Elect (ID: 233774) Volume: real 6076.4811473, play 614393.74376756 Bettors: real 105, play 169 Leading (real money): Lula 55% Leading (play money): Lula 80% Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? (ID: 222362) Volume: real 2018.5616243, play 83593.92669293 Bettors: real 20, play 115 Leading (real money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 64% Leading (play money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 74% Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 2044.86415693, play 36521.10714014 Bettors: real 22, play 83 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 46% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 36%

Will a new legislative election be called in France in 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether France will officially call a new legislative election at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be an official decree or announcement by the French government or presidency calling new legislative elections.

If France officially issues a decree or announcement calling new legislative elections during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speculation, political debate, or non-binding statements will not count. If official decrees are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major French or international news organizations. Resolution will reflect the substantive act of calling elections, not discussions or intent. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

Tags

Related Markets