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Will the US approve the delivery of Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine in 2026? Yes: real money 22%, play money 26% No: real money 78%, play money 74% Volume: real money 230.16841712, play money 21000.0053 Bettors: real money 6, play money 5 Categories: Politics, World Politics, Global Conflicts, Ukraine Related markets Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2609.78775908, play 114986.66327483 Bettors: real 39, play 211 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 74% Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026? (ID: 231765) Volume: real 925.24553164, play 127895.40979507 Bettors: real 65, play 85 Leading (real money): Tulsi Gabbard 86% Leading (play money): Tulsi Gabbard 97% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3007.5194239, play 137081.00274465 Bettors: real 30, play 209 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 11% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 57%

Will the US approve the delivery of Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine in 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether the United States government will formally approve the delivery of Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official announcements or notifications by the U.S. government confirming approval of such a transfer.

If the U.S. government formally approves the delivery of Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Informal discussions or speculation without formal approval will not count. If official announcements are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international news organizations. Resolution will reflect the substantive approval decision, not subsequent delivery timelines. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

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