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Will a federal judge be impeached in the US 2026? Yes: real money 20%, play money 17% No: real money 80%, play money 83% Volume: real money 100.18027264, play money 10600.0067 Bettors: real money 4, play money 2 Categories: Politics, USA, Congress Related markets Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2609.78775908, play 114986.66327483 Bettors: real 39, play 211 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 74% Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? (ID: 161037) Volume: real 2001.91661259, play 255081.72083213 Bettors: real 43, play 549 Leading (real money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 8% Leading (play money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 20% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3007.5194239, play 137081.00274465 Bettors: real 30, play 209 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 11% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 57%

Will a federal judge be impeached in the US 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether any federal judge of the United States will be impeached during calendar year 2026. For this market, impeachment means approval of articles of impeachment by the U.S. House of Representatives. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official congressional records confirming impeachment proceedings.

If the U.S. House of Representatives approves articles of impeachment against any federal judge during 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Investigations, impeachment inquiries, or Senate trials without House approval will not count. If congressional records are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major U.S. news organizations. Resolution will reflect the substantive act of impeachment by the House, not subsequent trial outcomes. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

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