Will any event in the Tokyo Olympics be allowed to take place with more than 30% of the venue's maximum occupancy?

After a one-year postponement, Japanese authorities, the International Olympic Committee, and the International Paralympic Committee have agreed to hold the Tokyo Olympics in 2021, following appropriate logistics for public health measures as Covid concerns still loom.

The release of a series of playbooks provided some guidelines for athletes, officials, federations, and the press. But a comprehensive guide stating measures for spectators and details about sports venues capacities is set to be released in April.

If the official guidelines for spectators in the Tokyo Olympic Games state that at least one event in the Games will be allowed to take place with an in-venue audience that corresponds to more than 30% of the venue's maximum capacity, this market will be resolved as “Yes”.

Only the most readily available data about venue capacity in the Olympics at the date the guidelines are published will be taken into consideration for the resolution of this market, even if an updated version of the material comes to light later on, or if the actual occupancy of the venues differs from the guidelines during the event.

If the Tokyo Olympic Games are canceled for any reason, this market will be canceled and all active wagers will be returned to forecasters.

Note: In order to offer more forecasting opportunities, this market's end date has been prolonged according to changes in the development of the event organizers' guidelines publishing calendar.