Will the United States launch a military attack on Iranian territory in 2022?
Market Rules
If by the end of 2022, the United States launch a military attack against Iranian targets located inside Iranian territory - be it through the deployment of air, marine, or ground forces - this market will resolve to "Yes".
The attack will only be considered official for the resolution of this market if it is publicly confirmed by the White House or by the United Nations, including the fact that it was performed within the borders of Iranian territory.
Only kinetic military action will be considered to resolve this market. Kinetic military action excludes electronic and cybernetic war resources and includes the shooting of projectiles, troops, and land armored vehicles deployment inside Iranian territory. The deployment of airships and warships to Iranian territories will only be taken into account if it causes structural damage or leads to a martial response, and each of such cases will be analyzed individually.