Will TSE claim a security incident in the 2022 election?

In May 2022, technical officials of Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (TSE) rebutted observations and recommendations that had been made by the Electoral Transparency Commission about security measures to be applied for the 2022 election. Publicly, TSE’s president Edson Fachin has firmly claimed the exclusive competence of the Electoral Justice to guarantee the security of the election, which has been questioned by President Jair Bolsonaro for months.

If either the president of TSE, a spokesperson for the Court, or its technical team claims a security incident took place in the first round of voting (October 2nd) or in the second round of voting (October 30th) of the Brazilian presidential election of 2022, this market will resolve to “Yes”.