Will a ceasefire between Israel and Hamas go into effect by the end of November?
Market Rules
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas is announced and goes into effect at any point before or on November 30. The ceasefire must involve a formal and publicly announced agreement to halt military actions, not an informal or unannounced cessation of hostilities.
The market will resolve as 'No' if no ceasefire agreement is reached or announced, or if an agreement is reached but does not go into effect before or on November 30.
The outcome will be determined based on official announcements from Israel, Hamas, or international bodies such as the United Nations, as well as credible media reports. If there are conflicting reports or a lack of clear, verifiable information, or if the ceasefire is announced but its effectiveness cannot be confirmed, Futuur will decide between resolving the market in favor of the credible report or canceling the market, in which case all active wagers will be returned to their respective forecasters.