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Naim Qassem still Hezbollah’s leader through July 1, 2025? Yes: real money 91%, play money 89% No: real money 9%, play money 11% Volume: real money 571.05733654, play money 33090 Bettors: real money 14, play money 11 Categories: Politics, Middle East, Lebanon Related markets Winner of Israel's legislative election (ID: 239704) Volume: real 737.61366553, play 75310.30398778 Bettors: real 15, play 15 Leading (real money): Yashar 56% Leading (play money): Yashar 53% Netanyahu convicted in Court in 2026? (ID: 231546) Volume: real 58.02315325, play 7467.04834371 Bettors: real 8, play 13 Leading (real money): Netanyahu convicted in Court in 2026? 13% Leading (play money): Netanyahu convicted in Court in 2026? 15% Will Israel normalize relations with _____ in 2026? (ID: 231743) Volume: real 123.4620898, play 7597.33622692 Bettors: real 19, play 15 Leading (real money): Saudi Arabia 11% Leading (play money): Qatar 12% Israel’s next prime minister after the 2026 election (ID: 238704) Volume: real 1339.75319055, play 76951.92221197 Bettors: real 24, play 30 Leading (real money): Gadi Eisenkot 60% Leading (play money): Gadi Eisenkot 63% Will Iran no longer be an Islamic Republic by the end of 2026? (ID: 231628) Volume: real 195.67318871, play 30392.86154679 Bettors: real 11, play 27 Leading (real money): Will Iran no longer be an Islamic Republic by the end of 2026? 6% Leading (play money): Will Iran no longer be an Islamic Republic by the end of 2026? 3%

Naim Qassem still Hezbollah’s leader through July 1, 2025?

Market Rules

This market aims to predict whether Naim Qassem will continue to hold the position of Secretary-General of Hezbollah through July 1, 2025.

To resolve this market as “Yes” Naim Qassem must continuously retain his role as Hezbollah's Secretary-General, which Hezbollah's official communications recognize as the highest position, from November 1st, 2024, through July 1st, 2025.

If Qassem steps down, is removed, or otherwise permanently ceases to hold that position for any reason before July 1, 2025, the market will resolve as “No”.

Naim Qassem’s leadership status will be verified through official Hezbollah statements or reliable news sources. If no official announcement is available, Futuur will rely on the consensus from reputable news sources to determine the market's resolution.

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