Will Russia annex any part of the Lithuanian territory in 2025?
Market Rules
Some boundaries between states in the region of the Baltic Sea are defined by relatively recent treaties and were subject to many traumatic geopolitical shifts. In 2014, for example, Russia annexed the Ukrainian region of Crimea. In 2017, Lithuania was funded by NATO to reinforce its border area with the Kaliningrad oblast.
If Russia claims authority over some portion of the Lithuanian territory and deploys military forces over the referred area by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "Yes".
If Russia claims to have annexed territory but the occurrence of such de facto annexation is subject to controversy and lacks confirmation by reputable sources, Futuur will use its discretion to determine whether this constitutes a "Yes" resolution.