United States to attack North Korea in 2025?
Market Rules
If between January 1st and December 31st, 2025, the United States launches a military attack against North Korean targets located inside North Korean territory – be it through the deployment of air, marine, or ground forces – this market will resolve to "Yes".
The attack will only be considered official for the resolution of this market if it is publicly confirmed by the White House or by the United Nations, including the fact that it was performed within the borders of North Korean territory.
Only kinetic military action will be considered to resolve this market. Kinetic military action excludes electronic and cybernetic war resources and includes shooting projectiles, troops, and land armored vehicle deployment inside North Korean territory. The deployment of airships and warships to North Korean territories will only be taken into account if it causes structural damage or leads to a martial response, and each of such cases will be analyzed individually.
Covert operations or attacks that are not publicly acknowledged by the US government will not be considered sufficient for a 'Yes' resolution.