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Will Eduardo Bolsonaro return to Brazil by the end of 2026? Yes: real money 7%, play money 7% No: real money 93%, play money 93% Volume: real money 162.18958912, play money 15882.02821152 Bettors: real money 11, play money 19 Categories: Politics, Brazil, Judiciary Related markets Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? (ID: 134871) Volume: real 987.24947279, play 508517.50310836 Bettors: real 43, play 1223 Leading (real money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 66% Leading (play money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 51% Lula to finish his presidential term? (ID: 166905) Volume: real 6897.08675617, play 1076338.04176795 Bettors: real 105, play 1882 Leading (real money): Lula to finish his presidential term? 97% Leading (play money): Lula to finish his presidential term? 96% Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? (ID: 161037) Volume: real 2033.0296517, play 337841.92892331 Bettors: real 45, play 554 Leading (real money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 3% Leading (play money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 75%

Will Eduardo Bolsonaro return to Brazil by the end of 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether Eduardo Bolsonaro will physically return to Brazilian territory at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be verifiable confirmation of his presence in Brazil from authoritative public records or official statements by Brazilian authorities (e.g., Federal Police, Ministry of Justice), or other official documentation evidencing his presence in Brazil.

If Eduardo Bolsonaro is confirmed to have physically returned to Brazil within this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Confirmation may come from at least one of: (i) an official announcement by Brazilian authorities, (ii) confirmed reporting by multiple credible news outlets, (iii) a public appearance or statement by Eduardo Bolsonaro from within Brazil, or (iv) court records or legal proceedings documenting his presence in Brazil. The Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will apply if official records are unavailable or ambiguous, relying on consistent reporting from major independent news organizations. Resolution will be based on the substantive fact of his return to Brazilian territory, not on technicalities such as brief transit stops/layovers without a meaningful return. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

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