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Will the Brent oil barrel spot price fall below 36 USD in 2026? Yes: real money 9%, play money 6% No: real money 91%, play money 94% Volume: real money 115.79104146, play money 16181.407 Bettors: real money 3, play money 4 Categories: Finance, Commodities, Oil, Brent Crude Oil Related markets Will any Antarctic Treaty signatory announce plans for exploratory fossil fuel surveys by end of 2027? (ID: 224529) Volume: real 99.96, play 10500.00534835 Bettors: real 0, play 1 Leading (real money): Will any Antarctic Treaty signatory announce plans for exploratory fossil fuel surveys by end of 202 32% Leading (play money): Will any Antarctic Treaty signatory announce plans for exploratory fossil fuel surveys by end of 202 36% Will any Antarctic Treaty signatory announce or start building a dual-use research station by end of 2027? (ID: 224528) Volume: real 99.98, play 10000 Bettors: real 0, play 0 Leading (real money): Will any Antarctic Treaty signatory announce or start building a dual-use research station by end of 24% Leading (play money): Will any Antarctic Treaty signatory announce or start building a dual-use research station by end of 24% Will WTI Crude Oil (CL) reach ___ by April 30? (ID: 236741) Volume: real 516.95819326, play 72191.9731 Bettors: real 16, play 13 Leading (real money): 105 USD 65% Leading (play money): 105 USD 65%

Will the Brent oil barrel spot price fall below 36 USD in 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether the daily spot price of Brent crude oil will close below USD 36.00 on at least one trading day between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) published daily Brent spot price.

If the EIA publishes a daily closing Brent spot price below USD 36.00 during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the EIA omits a daily value, alternative reputable sources cited by the EIA may be used as substitutes. Intraday price movements or unofficial quotes will not count. If official price data is ambiguous, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major energy market data providers. Resolution will reflect the published daily closing price, not intraday ticks. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

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