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Will another French PM be appointed by the end of 2026? Yes: real money 33%, play money 49% No: real money 67%, play money 51% Volume: real money 186.53474369, play money 17672.40235564 Bettors: real money 7, play money 10 Categories: Politics, Europe, France Related markets Javier Milei to complete his presidential term in Argentina? (ID: 185188) Volume: real 1014.3628699, play 50950.17996757 Bettors: real 19, play 83 Leading (real money): Javier Milei to complete his presidential term in Argentina? 98% Leading (play money): Javier Milei to complete his presidential term in Argentina? 86% Lula to finish his presidential term? (ID: 166905) Volume: real 6897.08675617, play 1076224.64026538 Bettors: real 105, play 1882 Leading (real money): Lula to finish his presidential term? 97% Leading (play money): Lula to finish his presidential term? 96% Emmanuel Macron to finish his presidential term in France? (ID: 173409) Volume: real 142.27517417, play 13132.34662699 Bettors: real 18, play 42 Leading (real money): Emmanuel Macron to finish his presidential term in France? 90% Leading (play money): Emmanuel Macron to finish his presidential term in France? 82% Winner of France’s presidential election (ID: 237493) Volume: real 942.77259695, play 55650.19780173 Bettors: real 41, play 27 Leading (real money): Marine Le Pen 47% Leading (play money): Marine Le Pen 43%

Will another French PM be appointed by the end of 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether a new individual will be officially appointed as Prime Minister of France at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). For this market, appointment means a formal presidential appointment recorded in the Journal Officiel de la République Française (JORF). The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the JORF or official presidential announcements.

If a new Prime Minister of France is officially appointed during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Temporary delegations of duties or acting arrangements will not count. If official publications are delayed or ambiguous, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major French news organizations. Resolution will reflect the substantive appointment of a new Prime Minister, not interim arrangements. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

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