Drop in India’s S&P long-term credit rating in 2026?
Market Rules
This event predicts whether S&P Global Ratings will downgrade India’s long-term sovereign credit rating at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official rating action announcements published by S&P.
If S&P formally lowers India’s long-term sovereign rating level during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Outlook changes or credit watch placements without a downgrade of the rating level will not count. If official rating announcements are ambiguous, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major financial news organizations. Resolution will reflect the substantive rating-level change, not outlook adjustments. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.