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Will Silas Malafaia be arrested by the end of 2026? Yes: real money 10%, play money 12% No: real money 90%, play money 88% Volume: real money 45.22780564, play money 2230.92051376 Bettors: real money 9, play money 8 Categories: Politics, Brazil, Judiciary Related markets Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? (ID: 134871) Volume: real 965.16141894, play 508517.50310836 Bettors: real 43, play 1223 Leading (real money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 62% Leading (play money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 51% Lula to finish his presidential term? (ID: 166905) Volume: real 6779.44719473, play 1075860.94599143 Bettors: real 103, play 1882 Leading (real money): Lula to finish his presidential term? 97% Leading (play money): Lula to finish his presidential term? 96% Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? (ID: 161037) Volume: real 2022.98957167, play 299498.80666806 Bettors: real 45, play 553 Leading (real money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 3% Leading (play money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 2%

Will Silas Malafaia be arrested by the end of 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether Silas Malafaia will be formally arrested at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026. For this market, arrest means formal custodial detention ordered by a competent Brazilian judicial authority. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official records or announcements from Brazilian courts or law enforcement authorities.

If Silas Malafaia is formally placed under custodial detention during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Investigations, indictments, or questioning without detention will not count. If official records are ambiguous, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major Brazilian news organizations. Resolution will reflect substantive arrest, not legal proceedings short of detention. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

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