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Will Silas Malafaia be arrested by the end of 2026? Yes: real money 13%, play money 12% No: real money 87%, play money 88% Volume: real money 208.86513843, play money 22006.10284271 Bettors: real money 8, play money 6 Categories: Politics, Brazil, Judiciary Related markets Lula to finish his presidential term? (ID: 166905) Volume: real 6536.79584312, play 940200.72299779 Bettors: real 100, play 1867 Leading (real money): Lula to finish his presidential term? 95% Leading (play money): Lula to finish his presidential term? 91% Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? (ID: 134871) Volume: real 1069.87900473, play 444831.44739855 Bettors: real 43, play 1218 Leading (real money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 62% Leading (play money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 29% Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? (ID: 161037) Volume: real 2000.85644531, play 254958.26429136 Bettors: real 42, play 548 Leading (real money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 8% Leading (play money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 20%

Will Silas Malafaia be arrested by the end of 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether Silas Malafaia will be formally arrested at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026. For this market, arrest means formal custodial detention ordered by a competent Brazilian judicial authority. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official records or announcements from Brazilian courts or law enforcement authorities.

If Silas Malafaia is formally placed under custodial detention during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Investigations, indictments, or questioning without detention will not count. If official records are ambiguous, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major Brazilian news organizations. Resolution will reflect substantive arrest, not legal proceedings short of detention. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

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