Brazil’s Next President Elect Lula: real money 51%, play money 75% Flávio Bolsonaro: real money 45%, play money 70% Romeu Zema: real money 6%, play money 4% Tarcísio de Freitas: real money 6%, play money 1% Ronaldo Caiado: real money 3%, play money 5% Renan Santos: real money 2%, play money 5% Eduardo Leite: real money 2%, play money 1% Aldo Rebelo: real money 1%, play money 1% Ratinho Júnior: real money 1%, play money 1% Volume: real money 2666.17861997, play money 452427.9782 Bettors: real money 73, play money 117 Categories: Politics, Brazil, 2026 Election Related markets Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? (ID: 134871) Volume: real 1069.69527532, play 444537.5891163 Bettors: real 39, play 1216 Leading (real money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 50% Leading (play money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 25% Petrobras' privatization to begin by the end of Lula's term? (ID: 156870) Volume: real 1154.38048418, play 213718.12816903 Bettors: real 25, play 403 Leading (real money): Petrobras' privatization to begin by the end of Lula's term? 7% Leading (play money): Petrobras' privatization to begin by the end of Lula's term? 100% Lula to finish his presidential term? (ID: 166905) Volume: real 5753.43938187, play 932132.89794923 Bettors: real 94, play 1854 Leading (real money): Lula to finish his presidential term? 50% Leading (play money): Lula to finish his presidential term? 94% Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? (ID: 161037) Volume: real 1755.13293676, play 251150.95481092 Bettors: real 39, play 542 Leading (real money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 51% Leading (play money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 15% Brazil's Supreme Court expanded to more than 11 seats by the end of 2026? (ID: 161038) Volume: real 161.74939202, play 125126.91555822 Bettors: real 16, play 265 Leading (real money): Brazil's Supreme Court expanded to more than 11 seats by the end of 2026? 50% Leading (play money): Brazil's Supreme Court expanded to more than 11 seats by the end of 2026? 6%

Brazil’s Next President Elect

Market Rules

This set of markets predicts who will win Brazil’s next presidential election, with the first round scheduled for October 4, 2026. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the official election results published by Brazil’s Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE).

If the candidate named in a market is officially declared elected President of Brazil by the TSE following the 2026 election process (including any required second-round runoff), that market will resolve to "Yes". All other markets will resolve to "No". If a runoff election is required, the resolution will be based on the final certified result after the second round. If the election is canceled, indefinitely postponed, or no official winner is certified by the TSE, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation. If official TSE publications are unavailable or unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from credible national or international news organizations. Resolution will reflect the officially certified winner, not preliminary projections.

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