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Will Ernesto Araújo leave office by April 10? No: real money —, play money 62% Yes: real money —, play money 38% Volume: real money 144.17461356, play money 194.81943611 Bettors: real money 0, play money 1 Categories: Politics, Brazil, Cabinet Related markets Which of Brazil's military commanders will remain in office through the end of 2026? (ID: 231750) Volume: real 0.90049904, play 868.36076891 Bettors: real 15, play 9 Leading (real money): Army Commander (General Tomás Paiva) 92% Leading (play money): Army Commander (General Tomás Paiva) 92% Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil's 2026 presidential election? (ID: 228861) Volume: real 9999.97974245, play 871964.27296509 Bettors: real 48, play 197 Leading (real money): Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil's 2026 presidential election? 23% Leading (play money): Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil's 2026 presidential election? 23%

Will Ernesto Araújo leave office by April 10?

Market Rules

Ernesto Araújo took office as Brazil's Secretary of Foreign Affairs on January 1, 2019. If he remains in office by July 1st, 2019, this question will be resolved as "No". Otherwise, it will be resolved as "Yes". The criteria to resolve this question is the effective and permanent release from duties by Ernerto Araújo. Therefore, the following scenarios shall not count as leaving office: 1) Announcing his intention to leave office before July 1st, but only doing so after such date; or 2) Being temporarily released from duty, only to be readmitted into office within 48h from that. In both of the referred cases, this question shall still be resolved as "No"

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