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New nuclear power in the world by the end of 2024? No: real money 94%, play money 85% Yes: real money 6%, play money 15% Volume: real money 1180.20856024, play money 29822.98892999 Bettors: real money 15, play money 65 Categories: Politics, World Politics, Nuclear Issues Related markets New nuclear weapon tests in 2026? (ID: 231665) Volume: real 54.28336698, play 7604.14965964 Bettors: real 10, play 10 Leading (real money): New nuclear weapon tests in 2026? 20% Leading (play money): New nuclear weapon tests in 2026? 29% China to double its amount of stockpiled nuclear warheads (as of 2021) by the end of 2026? (ID: 231688) Volume: real 10.38850949, play 3267.71796781 Bettors: real 6, play 8 Leading (real money): China to double its amount of stockpiled nuclear warheads (as of 2021) by the end of 2026? 34% Leading (play money): China to double its amount of stockpiled nuclear warheads (as of 2021) by the end of 2026? 39% Will any country become a new nuclear power in 2026? (ID: 231674) Volume: real 35.98814298, play 11394.63175883 Bettors: real 6, play 9 Leading (real money): Will any country become a new nuclear power in 2026? 13% Leading (play money): Will any country become a new nuclear power in 2026? 10% Will any of the UN’s Security Council permanent members leave the Non-Proliferation Treaty by the end of 2026? (ID: 216203) Volume: real 40.4357251, play 5707.7887884 Bettors: real 7, play 8 Leading (real money): Will any of the UN’s Security Council permanent members leave the Non-Proliferation Treaty by the en 9% Leading (play money): Will any of the UN’s Security Council permanent members leave the Non-Proliferation Treaty by the en 9%

New nuclear power in the world by the end of 2024?

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In 2020, nine countries in the world possessed military nuclear power: the United States, Russia, France, China, the United Kingdom, Pakistan, India, Israel, and North Korea. Will any other country join the nuclear power "community" by the end of 2024?

This question will be resolved based on the latest version of the Status of Nuclear Forces numbers from the Federation of American Scientists, as available on December 31st, 2024. Even if a country has nuclear weapons that are either in deposits or decommissioned, it will be still considered as the owner of a nuclear arsenal - and, therefore, a nuclear power - in this question.

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