Will Russia annex any part of the Finnish territory by the end of 2022?
Market Rules
Some boundaries between states in the region of the Baltic Sea are defined by relatively recent treaties and were subject to many and traumatic geopolitical shifts. In 2014, for example, Russia annexed the Ukrainian region of Crimea.
Despite not being a member of NATO, Finland keeps a strategic partnership with it, raising Russian concerns about the possibility of a full adhesion to the organization. Despite the end of the Cold War, the Russian Federation still has significant political, social, and economic influence over the Baltic states, and frequently holds big military drills in the region from time to time. Might that conflict lead to an eventual Russian territorial claim over any portion of the Finnish territory?
If Russia claims authority over any portion of the Finnish territory and deploys military forces over the referred area by December 31, 2022, this market will resolve to "Yes".