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Will TSE claim a security incident in the 2022 election? No: real money 87%, play money 94% Yes: real money 13%, play money 6% Volume: real money 225.52215431, play money 63432.95 Bettors: real money 17, play money 139 Categories: Politics, Brazil, Elections 2022, Electoral Justice Related markets Which of Brazil's military commanders will remain in office through the end of 2026? (ID: 231750) Volume: real 0.90049904, play 868.36076891 Bettors: real 15, play 9 Leading (real money): Army Commander (General Tomás Paiva) 92% Leading (play money): Army Commander (General Tomás Paiva) 92% Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil's 2026 presidential election? (ID: 228861) Volume: real 10243.9197418, play 882845.58923766 Bettors: real 49, play 199 Leading (real money): Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil's 2026 presidential election? 22% Leading (play money): Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil's 2026 presidential election? 23%

Will TSE claim a security incident in the 2022 election?

Market Rules

In May 2022, technical officials of Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (TSE) rebutted observations and recommendations that had been made by the Electoral Transparency Commission about security measures to be applied for the 2022 election. Publicly, TSE’s president Edson Fachin has firmly claimed the exclusive competence of the Electoral Justice to guarantee the security of the election, which has been questioned by President Jair Bolsonaro for months.

If either the president of TSE, a spokesperson for the Court, or its technical team claims a security incident took place in the first round of voting (October 2nd) or in the second round of voting (October 30th) of the Brazilian presidential election of 2022, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

Comments

  • hugotss: "incidente de segurança" é MUITO vago. Um indivíduo retardado atacar uma urna é um incidente de segurança, mesmo que não tenha relevância alguma sobre o universo de votações. 

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