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When will the United Kingdom enter an economic recession? Not before 2024: real money 79%, play money 82% Q4, 2023: real money 21%, play money 18% Q4, 2022: real money 0%, play money 0% Q1, 2023: real money 0%, play money 0% Q2, 2023: real money 0%, play money 0% Q3, 2023: real money 0%, play money 0% Volume: real money 192.60883823, play money 16040.01 Bettors: real money 11, play money 25 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, United Kingdom Related markets United Kingdom’s interest rate at the end of 2026 (ID: 231730) Volume: real 902.36439555, play 126870.5934067 Bettors: real 32, play 26 Leading (real money): Greater than 3.75% 71% Leading (play money): Greater than 3.75% 69% MSCI Emerging Markets Index performance in 2026 (ID: 231734) Volume: real 410.86941759, play 100.399 Bettors: real 23, play 9 Leading (real money): Above 20% 67% Leading (play money): Between 10% and 20% 39% MSCI World Index performance in 2026 (ID: 231735) Volume: real 341.02146297, play 8171.11639698 Bettors: real 22, play 12 Leading (real money): Above 10% 65% Leading (play money): Between 5% and 10% 35%

When will the United Kingdom enter an economic recession?

Market Rules

The Bank of England has projected weak and even negative National economic growth scenarios in the near future, possibly still in 2022. Other observers, however, diverge on when the recession might set in, as well as on its intensity, including the possibility of stagflation.

In case the United Kingdom’s Gross Domestic Product goes through two consecutive quarters of contraction (negative growth rates), the country will enter a technical recession. If that happens, the alternative which correctly lists the period in which the recession is first confirmed in the UK will be considered the winning outcome of this market.

The reference to resolve this market will be the Office for National Statistics’ “Gross Domestic Product: Quarter on Quarter Growth” publication.

If the United Kingdom does not enter recession by the 4th quarter of 2023, the winning outcome of this market will be "Not before 2024".

Comments

  • mohammednammareg1: Q4,2022

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