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Will Brazil's Supreme Court rule that the "Secret Budget" is unconstitutional still in 2022? No: real money 68%, play money 68% Yes: real money 32%, play money 32% Volume: real money 205.45926852, play money 5100 Bettors: real money 2, play money 1 Categories: Politics, Brazil, Judiciary Related markets Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? (ID: 161037) Volume: real 1968.12791744, play 284702.83617077 Bettors: real 43, play 552 Leading (real money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 8% Leading (play money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 9% Brazil's Supreme Court expanded to more than 11 seats by the end of 2026? (ID: 161038) Volume: real 128.73949158, play 166490.64881065 Bettors: real 22, play 267 Leading (real money): Brazil's Supreme Court expanded to more than 11 seats by the end of 2026? 7% Leading (play money): Brazil's Supreme Court expanded to more than 11 seats by the end of 2026? 2%

Will Brazil's Supreme Court rule that the "Secret Budget" is unconstitutional still in 2022?

Market Rules

In December 2022, Brazil's Supreme Court (STF) began to judge 4 motions (ADPFs) that questioned whether or not the so-called "Secret Budget" — i.e. the execution of draftsman amendment to the federal budget, a.k.a. RP9 — was constitutional.

If the trial of the aforementioned motions is finished in 2022 and the majority of Supreme Court justices vote in favor of considering the "secret budget" to be unconstitutional and, hence, determine that it must be interrupted, this market will resolve to "Yes".

Comments

  • pedro_brito: Unexpectedly, STF has declared the "Secret Budget" unconstitutional.  Source 1:  https://g1.globo.com/politica/noticia/2022/12/19/stf-julgamento-orcamento-secreto.ghtml Source 2:  https://www.ft.com/content/0b130aa6-73ce-48ff-b627-a2f5a1780135

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