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Will TSE revoke Sergio Moro's mandate in 2024? No: real money 87%, play money 90% Yes: real money 13%, play money 10% Volume: real money 214.63891514, play money 71604.98 Bettors: real money 9, play money 6 Categories: Politics, Brazil, Congress Related markets Which of Brazil's military commanders will remain in office through the end of 2026? (ID: 231750) Volume: real 0.90049904, play 868.36076891 Bettors: real 15, play 9 Leading (real money): Army Commander (General Tomás Paiva) 92% Leading (play money): Army Commander (General Tomás Paiva) 92% Opening of impeachment procedures against Lula before the 2026 elections? (ID: 166903) Volume: real 581.92102346, play 50815.93637958 Bettors: real 17, play 77 Leading (real money): Opening of impeachment procedures against Lula before the 2026 elections? 6% Leading (play money): Opening of impeachment procedures against Lula before the 2026 elections? 4% Bill 2633/20 (a.k.a. "PL da Grilagem") approved in Brazil's Congress by the end of 2026? (ID: 163593) Volume: real 111.4152568, play 1444.99675661 Bettors: real 9, play 16 Leading (real money): Bill 2633/20 (a.k.a. "PL da Grilagem") approved in Brazil's Congress by the end of 2026? 15% Leading (play money): Bill 2633/20 (a.k.a. "PL da Grilagem") approved in Brazil's Congress by the end of 2026? 19%

Will TSE revoke Sergio Moro's mandate in 2024?

Market Rules

If Brazil's top electoral court (TSE) decides in favor of revoking senator Sergio Moro's (UNIÃO-PR) mandate in the case reported by Floriano Azevedo Marques — an appeal to Moro's acquittal in the Regional Electoral Court of Paraná (TRE-PR) for pre-campaign irregularities in 2022’s Senate race — this market will resolve to "Yes".

If for any reason, including dismissal and filing, the case does not get voted in TSE by December 31st, 2024, this market will resolve to “No”.

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