Ceasefire initiated in Gaza by the end of October?
Market Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas is announced and goes into effect between August 24, at 00:01 (UTC-3), and October 31, 2024, at 23:59 (UTC-3). The ceasefire must involve a formal and publicly announced agreement to halt military actions, not an informal or unannounced cessation of hostilities.
The market will resolve as “No” if no ceasefire agreement is reached or announced, or if an agreement is reached but does not go into effect before or on October 31.
The outcome will be determined based on official announcements from Israel, Hamas, or international bodies such as the United Nations, as well as credible media reports. If there are conflicting reports or a lack of clear, verifiable information, or if the ceasefire is announced but its effectiveness cannot be confirmed, Futuur will decide between resolving the market in favor of the credible report or canceling the market, in which case all active wagers will be returned to their respective forecasters.