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Will Google confirm the development of a cryptoasset in 2026? Yes: real money 19%, play money 17% No: real money 81%, play money 83% Volume: real money 200.12026024, play money 20719.050375 Bettors: real money 4, play money 4 Categories: Finance, Big Companies, Alphabet Related markets Which company will have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? (ID: 231720) Volume: real 3067.00522963, play 249130.43471734 Bettors: real 47, play 63 Leading (real money): Anthropic 76% Leading (play money): Anthropic 74% Will OpenAI announce a consumer hardware device by July 1, 2026? (ID: 219081) Volume: real 618.61729644, play 49315.05987581 Bettors: real 15, play 42 Leading (real money): Will OpenAI announce a consumer hardware device by July 1, 2026? 15% Leading (play money): Will OpenAI announce a consumer hardware device by July 1, 2026? 18% Apple to announce the launch of a car by the end of 2026? (ID: 188455) Volume: real 956.89949377, play 46103.63925766 Bettors: real 19, play 46 Leading (real money): Apple to announce the launch of a car by the end of 2026? 100% Leading (play money): Apple to announce the launch of a car by the end of 2026? 21% When will Anthropic release Claude 4’s successor? (ID: 219012) Volume: real 448.53014629, play 44724.21299587 Bettors: real 41, play 45 Leading (real money): Q2, 2026 49% Leading (play money): Q2, 2026 73%

Will Google confirm the development of a cryptoasset in 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether Google will officially confirm that it is developing its own cryptoasset at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official statements or announcements by Google confirming the development of a cryptoasset.

If Google officially confirms during this period that it is developing a cryptoasset, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Cryptoasset development solely by Google-owned subsidiaries will only count if it is explicitly presented as part of Google’s core business. If official announcements are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major technology news organizations. Resolution will reflect substantive confirmation of development, not rumors or speculation. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

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