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Drop in India’s S&P long-term credit rating in 2026? Yes: real money 10%, play money 23% No: real money 90%, play money 77% Volume: real money 285.59572691, play money 20416.7621383 Bettors: real money 6, play money 3 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, India Related markets MSCI World Index performance in 2026 (ID: 231735) Volume: real 131.26030187, play 15000.4021 Bettors: real 21, play 10 Leading (real money): Between 5% and 10% 31% Leading (play money): Between 5% and 10% 33% MSCI Emerging Markets Index performance in 2026 (ID: 231734) Volume: real 136.16454594, play 12600.399 Bettors: real 22, play 9 Leading (real money): Between 10% and 20% 36% Leading (play money): Between 10% and 20% 38%

Drop in India’s S&P long-term credit rating in 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether S&P Global Ratings will downgrade India’s long-term sovereign credit rating at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official rating action announcements published by S&P.

If S&P formally lowers India’s long-term sovereign rating level during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Outlook changes or credit watch placements without a downgrade of the rating level will not count. If official rating announcements are ambiguous, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major financial news organizations. Resolution will reflect the substantive rating-level change, not outlook adjustments. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

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