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Drop in India’s S&P long-term credit rating in 2026? Yes: real money 8%, play money 4% No: real money 92%, play money 96% Volume: real money 112.80514023, play money 31419.21457052 Bettors: real money 6, play money 5 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, India Related markets MSCI Emerging Markets Index performance in 2026 (ID: 231734) Volume: real 410.86941759, play 100.399 Bettors: real 23, play 9 Leading (real money): Above 20% 67% Leading (play money): Between 10% and 20% 39% MSCI World Index performance in 2026 (ID: 231735) Volume: real 341.02146297, play 8171.11639698 Bettors: real 22, play 12 Leading (real money): Above 10% 65% Leading (play money): Between 5% and 10% 35%

Drop in India’s S&P long-term credit rating in 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether S&P Global Ratings will downgrade India’s long-term sovereign credit rating at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official rating action announcements published by S&P.

If S&P formally lowers India’s long-term sovereign rating level during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Outlook changes or credit watch placements without a downgrade of the rating level will not count. If official rating announcements are ambiguous, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major financial news organizations. Resolution will reflect the substantive rating-level change, not outlook adjustments. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

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