Brazil’s Next President Elect Lula: real money 62%, play money 76% Flávio Bolsonaro: real money 26%, play money 45% Renan Santos: real money 5%, play money 11% Romeu Zema: real money 2%, play money 4% Ronaldo Caiado: real money 2%, play money 3% Aldo Rebelo: real money 2%, play money 1% Eduardo Leite: real money 2%, play money 1% Tarcísio de Freitas: real money 2%, play money 1% Ratinho Júnior: real money 1%, play money 1% Volume: real money 8764.977145, play money 885692.73684831 Bettors: real money 122, play money 214 Categories: Politics, Brazil, 2026 Election Related markets Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? (ID: 134871) Volume: real 965.16141894, play 506232.79690227 Bettors: real 43, play 1221 Leading (real money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 62% Leading (play money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 49% Petrobras' privatization to begin by the end of Lula's term? (ID: 156870) Volume: real 1108.22764708, play 241783.13116915 Bettors: real 28, play 407 Leading (real money): Petrobras' privatization to begin by the end of Lula's term? 6% Leading (play money): Petrobras' privatization to begin by the end of Lula's term? 3% Lula to finish his presidential term? (ID: 166905) Volume: real 6621.31801412, play 1065021.23534286 Bettors: real 101, play 1876 Leading (real money): Lula to finish his presidential term? 99% Leading (play money): Lula to finish his presidential term? 92% Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? (ID: 161037) Volume: real 1968.12791744, play 280411.38954277 Bettors: real 43, play 551 Leading (real money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 8% Leading (play money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 11% Brazil's Supreme Court expanded to more than 11 seats by the end of 2026? (ID: 161038) Volume: real 116.37171538, play 165469.25877647 Bettors: real 22, play 267 Leading (real money): Brazil's Supreme Court expanded to more than 11 seats by the end of 2026? 10% Leading (play money): Brazil's Supreme Court expanded to more than 11 seats by the end of 2026? 4%

Brazil’s Next President Elect

Market Rules

This set of markets predicts who will win Brazil’s next presidential election, with the first round scheduled for October 4, 2026. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the official election results published by Brazil’s Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE).

If the candidate named in a market is officially declared elected President of Brazil by the TSE following the 2026 election process (including any required second-round runoff), that market will resolve to "Yes". All other markets will resolve to "No". If a runoff election is required, the resolution will be based on the final certified result after the second round. If the election is canceled, indefinitely postponed, or no official winner is certified by the TSE, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation. If official TSE publications are unavailable or unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from credible national or international news organizations. Resolution will reflect the officially certified winner, not preliminary projections.

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Comments

  • Cleiton5656: quem vai vencer as eleições?
  • Moma: 🦑
  • berniem: O renan Santos é que nao vai ser
  • ergregerh: hi, i need help how can i help you? everything is good?
  • ergregerh: hi, i need help how can i help you?

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