Markets
Leaderboard
Brazil’s Next President Elect Lula: real money 55%, play money 56% Flávio Bolsonaro: real money 33%, play money 46% Renan Santos: real money 6%, play money 3% Aldo Rebelo: real money 5%, play money 1% Romeu Zema: real money 3%, play money 4% Ronaldo Caiado: real money 2%, play money 3% Tarcísio de Freitas: real money 2%, play money 1% Eduardo Leite: real money 2%, play money 1% Ratinho Júnior: real money 1%, play money 1% Volume: real money 6658.31619151, play money 708070.70206999 Bettors: real money 106, play money 183 Categories: Politics, Brazil, 2026 Election Related markets Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? (ID: 161037) Volume: real 2001.92761259, play 255081.82083213 Bettors: real 43, play 550 Leading (real money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 8% Leading (play money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 20% Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? (ID: 134871) Volume: real 1069.96250776, play 445025.99143697 Bettors: real 43, play 1221 Leading (real money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 62% Leading (play money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 29% Petrobras' privatization to begin by the end of Lula's term? (ID: 156870) Volume: real 1159.7503085, play 215565.15116915 Bettors: real 27, play 407 Leading (real money): Petrobras' privatization to begin by the end of Lula's term? 6% Leading (play money): Petrobras' privatization to begin by the end of Lula's term? 3% Brazil's Supreme Court expanded to more than 11 seats by the end of 2026? (ID: 161038) Volume: real 162.03488133, play 150270.53470951 Bettors: real 21, play 267 Leading (real money): Brazil's Supreme Court expanded to more than 11 seats by the end of 2026? 13% Leading (play money): Brazil's Supreme Court expanded to more than 11 seats by the end of 2026? 4% Lula to finish his presidential term? (ID: 166905) Volume: real 6536.89585151, play 942126.06273361 Bettors: real 101, play 1869 Leading (real money): Lula to finish his presidential term? 95% Leading (play money): Lula to finish his presidential term? 96%

Brazil’s Next President Elect

Market Rules

This set of markets predicts who will win Brazil’s next presidential election, with the first round scheduled for October 4, 2026. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the official election results published by Brazil’s Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE).

If the candidate named in a market is officially declared elected President of Brazil by the TSE following the 2026 election process (including any required second-round runoff), that market will resolve to "Yes". All other markets will resolve to "No". If a runoff election is required, the resolution will be based on the final certified result after the second round. If the election is canceled, indefinitely postponed, or no official winner is certified by the TSE, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation. If official TSE publications are unavailable or unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from credible national or international news organizations. Resolution will reflect the officially certified winner, not preliminary projections.

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