Markets
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Brazil’s Next President Elect Lula: real money 57%, play money 98% Flávio Bolsonaro: real money 35%, play money 28% Renan Santos: real money 13%, play money 8% Romeu Zema: real money 3%, play money 4% Ronaldo Caiado: real money 2%, play money 3% Tarcísio de Freitas: real money 2%, play money 1% Eduardo Leite: real money 2%, play money 1% Aldo Rebelo: real money 1%, play money 1% Ratinho Júnior: real money 1%, play money 1% Volume: real money 4030.66625945, play money 548112.9769041 Bettors: real money 101, play money 147 Categories: Politics, Brazil, 2026 Election Related markets Lula to finish his presidential term? (ID: 166905) Volume: real 6536.79584312, play 940742.13705255 Bettors: real 100, play 1868 Leading (real money): Lula to finish his presidential term? 95% Leading (play money): Lula to finish his presidential term? 92% Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? (ID: 161037) Volume: real 2000.85644531, play 254958.26429136 Bettors: real 42, play 548 Leading (real money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 8% Leading (play money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 20% Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? (ID: 134871) Volume: real 1069.87900473, play 444831.44739855 Bettors: real 43, play 1218 Leading (real money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 62% Leading (play money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 29% Petrobras' privatization to begin by the end of Lula's term? (ID: 156870) Volume: real 1159.7604085, play 215463.10967415 Bettors: real 27, play 407 Leading (real money): Petrobras' privatization to begin by the end of Lula's term? 6% Leading (play money): Petrobras' privatization to begin by the end of Lula's term? 3% Brazil's Supreme Court expanded to more than 11 seats by the end of 2026? (ID: 161038) Volume: real 161.94219097, play 150270.53470951 Bettors: real 20, play 267 Leading (real money): Brazil's Supreme Court expanded to more than 11 seats by the end of 2026? 13% Leading (play money): Brazil's Supreme Court expanded to more than 11 seats by the end of 2026? 4%

Brazil’s Next President Elect

Market Rules

This set of markets predicts who will win Brazil’s next presidential election, with the first round scheduled for October 4, 2026. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the official election results published by Brazil’s Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE).

If the candidate named in a market is officially declared elected President of Brazil by the TSE following the 2026 election process (including any required second-round runoff), that market will resolve to "Yes". All other markets will resolve to "No". If a runoff election is required, the resolution will be based on the final certified result after the second round. If the election is canceled, indefinitely postponed, or no official winner is certified by the TSE, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation. If official TSE publications are unavailable or unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from credible national or international news organizations. Resolution will reflect the officially certified winner, not preliminary projections.

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