Markets
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Brazil’s Next President Elect Lula: real money 63%, play money 98% Flávio Bolsonaro: real money 26%, play money 48% Renan Santos: real money 5%, play money 14% Romeu Zema: real money 2%, play money 4% Ronaldo Caiado: real money 2%, play money 3% Aldo Rebelo: real money 2%, play money 1% Eduardo Leite: real money 2%, play money 1% Tarcísio de Freitas: real money 2%, play money 1% Ratinho Júnior: real money 1%, play money 1% Volume: real money 8390.39557007, play money 774244.19073969 Bettors: real money 122, play money 209 Categories: Politics, Brazil, 2026 Election Related markets Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? (ID: 134871) Volume: real 1069.96250776, play 469845.68480555 Bettors: real 43, play 1221 Leading (real money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 62% Leading (play money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 49% Petrobras' privatization to begin by the end of Lula's term? (ID: 156870) Volume: real 1160.80061538, play 215565.15116915 Bettors: real 28, play 407 Leading (real money): Petrobras' privatization to begin by the end of Lula's term? 6% Leading (play money): Petrobras' privatization to begin by the end of Lula's term? 3% Lula to finish his presidential term? (ID: 166905) Volume: real 6598.77915116, play 947553.59620016 Bettors: real 101, play 1872 Leading (real money): Lula to finish his presidential term? 98% Leading (play money): Lula to finish his presidential term? 96% Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? (ID: 161037) Volume: real 2001.92761259, play 259732.87917597 Bettors: real 43, play 550 Leading (real money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 8% Leading (play money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 11% Brazil's Supreme Court expanded to more than 11 seats by the end of 2026? (ID: 161038) Volume: real 170.18026531, play 150270.53470951 Bettors: real 22, play 267 Leading (real money): Brazil's Supreme Court expanded to more than 11 seats by the end of 2026? 10% Leading (play money): Brazil's Supreme Court expanded to more than 11 seats by the end of 2026? 4%

Brazil’s Next President Elect

Market Rules

This set of markets predicts who will win Brazil’s next presidential election, with the first round scheduled for October 4, 2026. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the official election results published by Brazil’s Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE).

If the candidate named in a market is officially declared elected President of Brazil by the TSE following the 2026 election process (including any required second-round runoff), that market will resolve to "Yes". All other markets will resolve to "No". If a runoff election is required, the resolution will be based on the final certified result after the second round. If the election is canceled, indefinitely postponed, or no official winner is certified by the TSE, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation. If official TSE publications are unavailable or unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from credible national or international news organizations. Resolution will reflect the officially certified winner, not preliminary projections.

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