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US nonfarm payrolls — September 2026 Above 0: real money 82%, play money 82% Above 10,000: real money 82%, play money 82% Above 20,000: real money 74%, play money 74% Above 30,000: real money 72%, play money 72% Above 40,000: real money 77%, play money 77% Above 50,000: real money 67%, play money 67% Above 60,000: real money 67%, play money 67% Above 70,000: real money 54%, play money 54% Above 80,000: real money 49%, play money 49% Volume: real money 0, play money 0 Bettors: real money 0, play money 0 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, United States, Employment Related markets MSCI Emerging Markets Index performance in 2026 (ID: 231734) Volume: real 11.20204594, play 100.399 Bettors: real 22, play 9 Leading (real money): Between 10% and 20% 40% Leading (play money): Between 10% and 20% 39% MSCI World Index performance in 2026 (ID: 231735) Volume: real 6.29780187, play 2500.4021 Bettors: real 21, play 10 Leading (real money): Between 5% and 10% 32% Leading (play money): Between 5% and 10% 34% Will the US' sovereign credit rating be downgraded again by Fitch, Moody's or S&P by the end of 2026? (ID: 224525) Volume: real 38.5646953, play 4773.37048688 Bettors: real 8, play 8 Leading (real money): Will the US' sovereign credit rating be downgraded again by Fitch, Moody's or S&P by the end of 2026 23% Leading (play money): Will the US' sovereign credit rating be downgraded again by Fitch, Moody's or S&P by the end of 2026 31%

US nonfarm payrolls — September 2026

Market Rules

Each market in this event resolves "Yes" if the month-over-month change in total US nonfarm payroll employment for September 2026, as first reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation report, is above the listed threshold. Markets resolve independently — every threshold below the reported figure resolves "Yes".

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