Will Christine Lagarde still be the president of the European Central Bank through the end of 2026?Yes85%No15%
Euro area’s inflation rate in 2026Less than 1.4%1%1.4% to 1.6%2%1.7% to 1.9%5%2.0% to 2.2%5%2.3% to 2.5%6%2.6% to 2.9%4%3.0% or more78%
European Central Bank interest rate decision in December50+ bps decrease1%25 bps decrease1%No change11%25 bps increase86%50+ bps increase1%
EUR/USD exchange rate at the end of 2026Less than 1.1014%Between 1.10 and 1.1744%More than 1.17, less than 1.2429%Between 1.24 and 1.3012%More than 1.302%