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Moody's or S&P downgrades France by...? October 31: real money 90%, play money 90% November 30: real money 91%, play money 91% Volume: real money 0, play money 0 Bettors: real money 0, play money 0 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, European Union Related markets Emmanuel Macron to finish his presidential term in France? (ID: 173409) Volume: real 142.27517417, play 13132.34662699 Bettors: real 18, play 42 Leading (real money): Emmanuel Macron to finish his presidential term in France? 90% Leading (play money): Emmanuel Macron to finish his presidential term in France? 82% Winner of France’s presidential election (ID: 237493) Volume: real 781.23536905, play 49551.59236283 Bettors: real 41, play 26 Leading (real money): Marine Le Pen 50% Leading (play money): Marine Le Pen 40% Brazil to reach "Investment Grade" by the end of 2026? (ID: 203187) Volume: real 378.43196602, play 26587.47227496 Bettors: real 18, play 52 Leading (real money): Brazil to reach "Investment Grade" by the end of 2026? 100% Leading (play money): Brazil to reach "Investment Grade" by the end of 2026? 6%

Moody's or S&P downgrades France by...?

Market Rules

These markets count only rating actions published between October 22, 2026, and each listed deadline at 11:59 PM ET, including those published before this event was published.

Each market resolves "Yes" if Moody's Ratings or S&P Global Ratings lowers its long-term sovereign credit rating for the Republic of France by its date, per the agencies' official rating action publications and the Agence France Trésor ratings page. Outlook or review changes do not count. Markets resolve independently — a qualifying downgrade resolves every later deadline "Yes" as well.

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