Earth collision risk: any celestial object to represent a threat of level 6 or higher by the end of 2025?

The collision of small celestial objects with the Earth is something that happens quite frequently, and normally they are disintegrated upon entering the higher layers of the atmosphere. To better rank the odds of an actual impact on land or sea, as well as their destructive potential, the International Astronomical Union created, in 1999, the Turin scale, where the danger levels range from 0 to 10.

The biggest threat since the scale was created was registered in 2005 when an asteroid was rated 4 on the scale, but later in the same year, its risk was lowered to 1. Despite representing a small risk of impact, Position 6 on the scale, if materialized, points to a threat of global catastrophe potential.

If by December 31, 2025, any celestial body is publicly considered by the International Astronomical Union a threat of level 6 or higher in the Turin scale, this market will be resolved as "Yes", even if its level is lowered later on.