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Next Justice to leave the US Supreme Court Clarence Thomas: real money 26%, play money 54% John G. Roberts Jr.: real money 25%, play money 3% Brett M. Kavanaugh: real money 25%, play money 2% Samuel A. Alito Jr.: real money 12%, play money 31% Sonia Sotomayor: real money 3%, play money 3% Ketanji Brown Jackson: real money 2%, play money 2% Neil M. Gorsuch: real money 2%, play money 1% Elena Kagan: real money 1%, play money 2% Amy Coney Barrett: real money 1%, play money 2% Volume: real money 107.38121299, play money 3013.37809888 Bettors: real money 40, play money 46 Categories: Politics, USA, Supreme Court Related markets Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 3735.65043629, play 74078.29457493 Bettors: real 29, play 97 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 35% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 23% Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026? (ID: 231765) Volume: real 1693.81254225, play 150233.06645622 Bettors: real 89, play 106 Leading (real money): Tulsi Gabbard 86% Leading (play money): Tulsi Gabbard 97% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2742.54682011, play 121371.10993985 Bettors: real 39, play 215 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 37% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 80% Control of the US Senate after the 2026 Elections (ID: 211467) Volume: real 5469.99001475, play 84877.21636313 Bettors: real 35, play 61 Leading (real money): Control of the US Senate after the 2026 Elections 35% Leading (play money): Control of the US Senate after the 2026 Elections 35% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3258.0711089, play 138639.04709376 Bettors: real 31, play 211 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 40% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 46%

Next Justice to leave the US Supreme Court

Market Rules

This market will be resolved depending on which of the listed justices of the Supreme Court of the United States is the first to create a vacancy on the Court by permanently departing active service for any reason.

If two justices leave at the exact same date, the one with the most advanced age will be considered the first to leave.

Temporary recusals or leaves of absence will not be considered as leaving the Court for the purpose of this market

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