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Next Justice to leave the US Supreme Court Clarence Thomas: real money 21%, play money 83% John G. Roberts Jr.: real money 20%, play money 4% Brett M. Kavanaugh: real money 17%, play money 3% Samuel A. Alito Jr.: real money 10%, play money 35% Neil M. Gorsuch: real money 2%, play money 1% Sonia Sotomayor: real money 1%, play money 3% Elena Kagan: real money 1%, play money 3% Amy Coney Barrett: real money 1%, play money 1% Volume: real money 116.73049031, play money 2983.02251088 Bettors: real money 20, play money 22 Categories: Politics, USA, Supreme Court Related markets Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026? (ID: 231765) Volume: real 640.92898739, play 68989.89904398 Bettors: real 30, play 77 Leading (real money): Kash Patel 66% Leading (play money): Kash Patel 70% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2422.49475017, play 113871.83467419 Bettors: real 34, play 205 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 50% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 71% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 2962.18003222, play 136707.61608244 Bettors: real 26, play 206 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 50% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 57% Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections (ID: 211468) Volume: real 736.33367686, play 31583.12480585 Bettors: real 10, play 45 Leading (real money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 13% Leading (play money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 19% Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 1935.24408401, play 35762.14306169 Bettors: real 18, play 81 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 50% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 42%

Next Justice to leave the US Supreme Court

Market Rules

This market will be resolved depending on which of the listed justices of the Supreme Court of the United States is the first to create a vacancy on the Court by permanently departing active service for any reason.

If two justices leave at the exact same date, the one with the most advanced age will be considered the first to leave.

Temporary recusals or leaves of absence will not be considered as leaving the Court for the purpose of this market

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