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Next Justice to leave the US Supreme Court Clarence Thomas: real money 21%, play money 68% John G. Roberts Jr.: real money 20%, play money 4% Brett M. Kavanaugh: real money 20%, play money 3% Samuel A. Alito Jr.: real money 10%, play money 38% Sonia Sotomayor: real money 3%, play money 4% Ketanji Brown Jackson: real money 2%, play money 2% Neil M. Gorsuch: real money 2%, play money 1% Elena Kagan: real money 1%, play money 3% Amy Coney Barrett: real money 1%, play money 2% Volume: real money 107.38121299, play money 3013.37809888 Bettors: real money 40, play money 46 Categories: Politics, USA, Supreme Court Related markets Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 1665.02450162, play 28490.17512169 Bettors: real 23, play 85 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 46% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 38% Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026? (ID: 231765) Volume: real 1338.26635654, play 137521.52611427 Bettors: real 83, play 106 Leading (real money): Tulsi Gabbard 86% Leading (play money): Tulsi Gabbard 97% Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections (ID: 211468) Volume: real 1083.15402801, play 42985.82935825 Bettors: real 18, play 52 Leading (real money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 6% Leading (play money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 23% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2715.2344096, play 116466.23915531 Bettors: real 39, play 212 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 72% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3246.73501219, play 134134.83831538 Bettors: real 30, play 210 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 2% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 55%

Next Justice to leave the US Supreme Court

Market Rules

This market will be resolved depending on which of the listed justices of the Supreme Court of the United States is the first to create a vacancy on the Court by permanently departing active service for any reason.

If two justices leave at the exact same date, the one with the most advanced age will be considered the first to leave.

Temporary recusals or leaves of absence will not be considered as leaving the Court for the purpose of this market

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