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Will the Supreme Court reverse the legality of same-sex marriage by the end of May 2023? No: real money 98%, play money 90% Yes: real money 2%, play money 10% Volume: real money 242.15447202, play money 185870.55 Bettors: real money 17, play money 263 Categories: Politics, USA, Supreme Court Related markets Next Justice to leave the US Supreme Court (ID: 149805) Volume: real 120.39147129, play 2983.02251088 Bettors: real 31, play 22 Leading (real money): Clarence Thomas 22% Leading (play money): Clarence Thomas 83% Will the SCOTUS decide that the POTUS can fire a member of the Fed's board without cause by June 30? (ID: 225852) Volume: real 300.94428972, play 15780.0160979 Bettors: real 4, play 13 Leading (real money): Will the SCOTUS decide that the POTUS can fire a member of the Fed's board without cause by June 30? 24% Leading (play money): Will the SCOTUS decide that the POTUS can fire a member of the Fed's board without cause by June 30? 33%

Will the Supreme Court reverse the legality of same-sex marriage by the end of May 2023?

Market Rules

The Supreme Court of the United States struck down states’ same-sex marriage bans in 2015, with the opinion that matrimony is a fundamental right guaranteed to that segment of society in the Obergefell v. Hodges case decision. Nonetheless, justice Samuel Alito’s opinion draft against the legality of Roe vs. Wade case’s landmark decision (related to abortion rights), leaked in May 2022, raised concerns to observers regarding the revision of this and other topics that might impact civil rights in the US.

If, by June 1st, 2023, the justices of the US Supreme Court issue the opinion that Obergefell v. Hodgens case’s decision goes against the Constitution, then the resolution of this market will be “Yes”. The opinion issued by the court must necessarily reverse key effects of the 2015 decision in order to resolve this market as “Yes”.

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