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Will the Supreme Court reverse the legality of same-sex marriage by the end of May 2023? No: real money 98%, play money 90% Yes: real money 2%, play money 10% Volume: real money 242.15447202, play money 185870.55 Bettors: real money 17, play money 263 Categories: Politics, USA, Supreme Court Related markets Change in the composition of the Supreme Court of the United States in 2026? (ID: 231549) Volume: real 200.24052386, play 20631.68092499 Bettors: real 5, play 4 Leading (real money): Change in the composition of the Supreme Court of the United States in 2026? 27% Leading (play money): Change in the composition of the Supreme Court of the United States in 2026? 25% Term limit for US Supreme Court justices enacted in 2026? (ID: 231666) Volume: real 205.24107536, play 23155.53229814 Bettors: real 6, play 6 Leading (real money): Term limit for US Supreme Court justices enacted in 2026? 13% Leading (play money): Term limit for US Supreme Court justices enacted in 2026? 10% Next Justice to leave the US Supreme Court (ID: 149805) Volume: real 124.4075263, play 3621.95879888 Bettors: real 40, play 46 Leading (real money): Clarence Thomas 21% Leading (play money): Clarence Thomas 68%

Will the Supreme Court reverse the legality of same-sex marriage by the end of May 2023?

Market Rules

The Supreme Court of the United States struck down states’ same-sex marriage bans in 2015, with the opinion that matrimony is a fundamental right guaranteed to that segment of society in the Obergefell v. Hodges case decision. Nonetheless, justice Samuel Alito’s opinion draft against the legality of Roe vs. Wade case’s landmark decision (related to abortion rights), leaked in May 2022, raised concerns to observers regarding the revision of this and other topics that might impact civil rights in the US.

If, by June 1st, 2023, the justices of the US Supreme Court issue the opinion that Obergefell v. Hodgens case’s decision goes against the Constitution, then the resolution of this market will be “Yes”. The opinion issued by the court must necessarily reverse key effects of the 2015 decision in order to resolve this market as “Yes”.

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