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What will be the US monthly core inflation rate (CPI) in September? 0.5% or less: real money 49%, play money 44% Between 0.6 and 0.8%: real money 37%, play money 43% More than 0.8%: real money 15%, play money 13% Volume: real money 105.3307675, play money 8728.55 Bettors: real money 1, play money 15 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, United States, Inflation Related markets US annual inflation rate (CPI) at the end of 2026? (ID: 231758) Volume: real 222.02258212, play 20050.09806122 Bettors: real 21, play 6 Leading (real money): Between 2.5% and 2,9% 38% Leading (play money): Between 2.5% and 2,9% 34% Will the US' sovereign credit rating be downgraded again by Fitch, Moody's or S&P by the end of 2026? (ID: 224525) Volume: real 106.17858607, play 13299.99701308 Bettors: real 6, play 4 Leading (real money): Will the US' sovereign credit rating be downgraded again by Fitch, Moody's or S&P by the end of 2026 31% Leading (play money): Will the US' sovereign credit rating be downgraded again by Fitch, Moody's or S&P by the end of 2026 35%

What will be the US monthly core inflation rate (CPI) in September?

Market Rules

Core inflation is a measure of the changes in prices of goods and services, excluding the food and energy sectors. What will be core inflation in the Consumer Price Index seasonally adjusted growth rate in September 2022?

This data is scheduled to be released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics on October 13th, 2022. This market will be resolved based on the number originally released by BLS of all items less food and energy, and will not be impacted by subsequent adjustments.

Source: https://www.bls.gov/cpi/news.htm

Comments

  • deagol: @Futuur @tom could you please tweak the option as indicated above? Or at least clarify what happens if the reported core inflation is 0.5%, which by the way is the current consensus.
  • Futuur: Thank you for pointing that out, deagol . The outcome should say "0.5% or less", rather than "Less than 0.5%". It has now been adjusted to reflect the correct range, so there is no room for a rate that does not fall within any of the listed outcomes.
  • deagol: FutuurBot option should be “Less Than 0.6%” not “Less Than 0.5%” cc @tom

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