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Will the value for the draftsman amendment be higher in 2024’s budget than in 2023? No: real money 91%, play money 93% Yes: real money 9%, play money 7% Volume: real money 446.29039855, play money 57854.63 Bettors: real money 11, play money 10 Categories: Politics, Brazil, Congress Related markets Which of Brazil's military commanders will remain in office through the end of 2026? (ID: 231750) Volume: real 0.90049904, play 868.36076891 Bettors: real 15, play 9 Leading (real money): Army Commander (General Tomás Paiva) 92% Leading (play money): Army Commander (General Tomás Paiva) 92% Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil's 2026 presidential election? (ID: 228861) Volume: real 10350.68062532, play 883447.99809289 Bettors: real 49, play 200 Leading (real money): Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil's 2026 presidential election? 19% Leading (play money): Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil's 2026 presidential election? 23% Bill 2633/20 (a.k.a. "PL da Grilagem") approved in Brazil's Congress by the end of 2026? (ID: 163593) Volume: real 192.78206371, play 1444.99675661 Bettors: real 9, play 16 Leading (real money): Bill 2633/20 (a.k.a. "PL da Grilagem") approved in Brazil's Congress by the end of 2026? 9% Leading (play money): Bill 2633/20 (a.k.a. "PL da Grilagem") approved in Brazil's Congress by the end of 2026? 19% Will Brazil's Congress pass limited-duration terms for STF justices in 2026? (ID: 231592) Volume: real 10.29247237, play 1979.49185891 Bettors: real 6, play 9 Leading (real money): Will Brazil's Congress pass limited-duration terms for STF justices in 2026? 17% Leading (play money): Will Brazil's Congress pass limited-duration terms for STF justices in 2026? 16%

Will the value for the draftsman amendment be higher in 2024’s budget than in 2023?

Market Rules

Draftsman amendments, also known as RP 9, amounted to R$12.3 billion for nominations in the Brazilian 2022 Annual Budgetary Law (LOA in the Portuguese abbreviation), which refers to the year 2023. Nicknamed as “secret budget”, such amendments were created in 2020 and are criticized due to their lack of transparency, since lawmakers are not required to disclose the destination of these budgetary nominations.

If the value reserved for draftsman amendments for 2024’s Law of Budgetary Guidelines (LDO in the Portuguese abbreviation) surpasses R$12.3 billion, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

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