Will Belarus officially declare war on Ukraine by the end of 2023?
Market Rules
Belarus is part of a union state together with Russia and has been taking part in joint military exercises by the Ukrainian border, on top of allowing Russian operations in its territory and providing logistical support in the war. However, after over a year of conflict, Belarus has not yet deployed troops to fight in Ukraine, conditioning its action to a direct Ukrainian attack.
At the end of February 2023, the partisan group BYPOL — which opposes the Belarusian regime — declared it had heavily damaged a Russian Beriev A-50 airplane, which is strategical in the conflict, near the capital of Belarus. The attack seems to have been conducted from outside the country with drones.
If Belarus officially declares war on Ukraine by December 31st, 2023, this market will resolve to “Yes”.