Will a binding code of ethics for the US Supreme Court be passed in Congress by EOY? No: real money 90%, play money 85% Yes: real money 10%, play money 15% Volume: real money 321.86646988, play money 7515 Bettors: real money 5, play money 19 Categories: Politics, USA, Supreme Court Related markets Elected Senators for São Paulo in 2026 (ID: 236756) Volume: real 605.69182386, play 51580.77136652 Bettors: real 46, play 49 Leading (real money): Simone Tebet 85% Leading (play money): Guilherme Derrite 67% Opening of impeachment procedures against Lula before the 2026 elections? (ID: 166903) Volume: real 581.92102346, play 50815.93637958 Bettors: real 17, play 77 Leading (real money): Opening of impeachment procedures against Lula before the 2026 elections? 6% Leading (play money): Opening of impeachment procedures against Lula before the 2026 elections? 4% Next Justice to leave the US Supreme Court (ID: 149805) Volume: real 107.38121299, play 3013.37809888 Bettors: real 40, play 46 Leading (real money): Clarence Thomas 26% Leading (play money): Clarence Thomas 54% Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? (ID: 161037) Volume: real 2019.67691152, play 285084.99022155 Bettors: real 45, play 552 Leading (real money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 5% Leading (play money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 9%

Will a binding code of ethics for the US Supreme Court be passed in Congress by EOY?

Market Rules

A series of media stories disclosing US Supreme Court justice Clarence Thomas’ links to the billionaire campaign donor Harlan Crow reignited public debate on the accountability of the justices for conflict of interest and other breaches in the judicial ethical code. Even though the Constitution allows impeachment and there are non-binding Judiciary codes of conduct, some observers perceive a lack of laws to enforce justices’ good behavior.

If a binding federal norm — such as a code of ethics — that allows the Executive or legislative branch to enforce consequences to breaches committed by US Supreme Court justices is approved in Congress by December 31st, 2024, this market will resolve to“Yes”.

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