Doug Burgum nominated to Trump’s cabinet by Feb. 1? Yes: real money 87%, play money 87% No: real money 13%, play money 13% Volume: real money 315.48434586, play money 29900.01 Bettors: real money 6, play money 8 Categories: Politics, USA, White House, Staff and Cabinet, Trump Administration Related markets Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2742.54682011, play 121371.10993985 Bettors: real 39, play 215 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 37% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 80% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3258.0711089, play 138639.04709376 Bettors: real 31, play 211 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 40% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 46%

Doug Burgum nominated to Trump’s cabinet by Feb. 1?

Market Rules

This market aims to predict whether Doug Burgum will be officially appointed to the highest position in any of the 15 executive departments of the United States of America by or on February 1, 2025.

Sources for the resolution of this market will include communications from the Trump White House Administration, and, additionally, credible journalistic sources.

If Donald Trump is not inaugurated, this market will resolve as “No.” This market will also resolve as “No” if Trump leaves office for any reason and Doug Burgum is appointed to the cabinet of his successor who continues his presidential term.

For the purposes of this market, cabinet-level positions will also be considered:
• White House Chief of Staff,
• Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB),
• Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA),
• United States Trade Representative,
• Ambassador to the United Nations,
• Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA),
• Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA),
• Director of National Intelligence,
• Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy
• Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA)

If another cabinet-level position is formally created by Trump and filled by Doug Burgum during the aforementioned period, this market will also resolve as “Yes.”

Update (11/19/2024): Missing cabinet-level positions officially listed by the White House have been added to the market's rules; the reference source link has been updated to the cabinet's page.

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