Markets
Leaderboard
Deportations in the US to reach 10 million individuals during Trump’s term? Yes: real money 12%, play money 18% No: real money 88%, play money 82% Volume: real money 473.40421285, play money 16400.0147624 Bettors: real money 11, play money 8 Categories: Politics, USA, White House, Staff and Cabinet, Trump Administration Related markets Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2608.60104832, play 114652.95944582 Bettors: real 39, play 210 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 94% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 74% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3007.08647864, play 136868.79585516 Bettors: real 30, play 208 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 8% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 57%

Deportations in the US to reach 10 million individuals during Trump’s term?

Market Rules

This market aims to predict whether the total number of deportations from the United States reaches or exceeds 10 million individuals during Donald Trump’s presidential term. The official removal of individuals from the United States as documented and reported by the U.S. Department of Homeland Security (DHS) or U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) between February 2025 and January 2029 will be the source of reference to resolve this market.

The 10 million total may include any individual removed through official deportation proceedings or voluntary departures where ICE or DHS documentation officially categorizes the event as a deportation. The market will rely on cumulative data published by DHS or ICE to determine if the 10 million threshold is reached during Trump’s term.

Tags

Related Markets