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US unemployment rate above 4.2% at the end 2025? Yes: real money 98%, play money 88% No: real money 2%, play money 12% Volume: real money 255.32269631, play money 35646.04512718 Bettors: real money 8, play money 9 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, United States, Employment Related markets Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 2397.20275525, play 31302.33685035 Bettors: real 26, play 88 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 43% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 43% Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026? (ID: 231765) Volume: real 1693.81254225, play 150094.17782247 Bettors: real 89, play 106 Leading (real money): Tulsi Gabbard 86% Leading (play money): Tulsi Gabbard 97% Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections (ID: 211468) Volume: real 1126.05809971, play 62371.82541499 Bettors: real 19, play 56 Leading (real money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 11% Leading (play money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 6% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2715.2344096, play 116947.89325969 Bettors: real 39, play 214 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 72% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3258.0711089, play 138639.04709376 Bettors: real 31, play 211 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 40% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 46%

US unemployment rate above 4.2% at the end 2025?

Market Rules

If the unemployment rate in the United States of America is higher than 4.2% in December 2025, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The reference to resolve this market will be the unemployment rate figures for December 2025, as published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics as part of the Employment Situation Summary.

If the BLS changes its method for calculating the unemployment rate, Futuur will use its discretion to determine the most comparable figure for resolution.

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