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Will Chappel Roan release an album that reaches #1 on the "Billboard 200" in 2025? Yes: real money 3%, play money 5% No: real money 97%, play money 95% Volume: real money 471.08384304, play money 39930 Bettors: real money 5, play money 11 Categories: Entertainment, Music, Album releases, Billboard 200 Related markets Taylor Swift pregnant by the end of 2026? (ID: 231705) Volume: real 433.11786852, play 45746.9338969 Bettors: real 8, play 13 Leading (real money): Taylor Swift pregnant by the end of 2026? 17% Leading (play money): Taylor Swift pregnant by the end of 2026? 15% Will an AI-created song chart in the top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027? (ID: 239441) Volume: real 284.99071774, play 40687.71074324 Bettors: real 6, play 12 Leading (real money): Will an AI-created song chart in the top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027? 25% Leading (play money): Will an AI-created song chart in the top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027? 20%

Will Chappel Roan release an album that reaches #1 on the "Billboard 200" in 2025?

Market Rules

This market predicts whether American singer-songwriter Chappell Roan will release an album that reaches the #1 position on the Billboard 200 album chart during the 2025 calendar year.

The market will resolve to "Yes" if the following conditions are met:

  • A new studio album (standard, deluxe, or re-recorded) primarily credited to Chappell Roan must be released during the 2025 calendar year.
  • This album must officially reach the #1 position on the Billboard 200 chart at any point between January 1, 2025, and December 31, 2025.
  • The #1 position must be verified by Billboard's official charts, as published on Billboard.com or in Billboard Magazine.

If an album released before 2025 reaches #1 in 2025 that will not count towards the resolution of this market.

An "album" is here defined as: a collection of songs released as a cohesive project. This includes standard studio albums, re-recordings, or deluxe editions, but excludes EPs (under 30 minutes or fewer than 6 tracks), singles, compilation albums of previously released material, or live albums.

About "Primary Credit": the album must be primarily credited to Chappell Roan as a solo artist. Collaborative albums where she is equally billed with another artist (e.g., "Artist A & Chappell Roan") will count, but albums where she appears only as a featured artist will not. Soundtrack albums where Chappell Roan performs multiple songs but is not the primary artist credited for the album will NOT count.

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