Will María Corina Machado be granted asylum outside Venezuela in 2026?
Market Rules
This event predicts whether María Corina Machado will be formally granted asylum by a country outside Venezuela at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). For this market, asylum means formal recognition of refugee or asylum status under international or domestic asylum law. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official statements or documentation from the granting country or relevant international authorities confirming asylum status.
If María Corina Machado is formally granted asylum by a country outside Venezuela during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Temporary refugee protections, humanitarian visas, or informal arrangements will not count. If official documentation is unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international news organizations or statements from Machado or her representatives. Resolution will reflect the substantive grant of asylum, not temporary protective measures. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.