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USDC to depeg from the US dollar (fall below $0.97) in 2026? Yes: real money 4%, play money 6% No: real money 96%, play money 94% Volume: real money 12.42322397, play money 3554.47250651 Bettors: real money 4, play money 6 Categories: Finance, Crypto, Cryptocurrencies, USDC Related markets Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 4550.9741174, play 86178.56160155 Bettors: real 30, play 103 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 37% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 31% Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026? (ID: 231765) Volume: real 1693.81254225, play 150233.06645622 Bettors: real 89, play 106 Leading (real money): Tulsi Gabbard 86% Leading (play money): Tulsi Gabbard 97% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2770.42679439, play 121513.0852775 Bettors: real 39, play 216 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 80% Control of the US Senate after the 2026 Elections (ID: 211467) Volume: real 5499.44806246, play 137850.93694978 Bettors: real 35, play 68 Leading (real money): Control of the US Senate after the 2026 Elections 33% Leading (play money): Control of the US Senate after the 2026 Elections 32% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3261.29128162, play 139020.85773009 Bettors: real 32, play 212 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 40% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 46%

USDC to depeg from the US dollar (fall below $0.97) in 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether the USD Coin (USDC) stablecoin will lose its peg to the U.S. dollar at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). For this market, a depeg means that the market price of 1 USDC falls below $0.99 for a sustained period. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the USDC price data published by CoinGecko.

If CoinGecko data shows that USDC trades below $0.99 at any point during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Brief price deviations that immediately correct may require intent-based assessment by Futuur. If CoinGecko data becomes unavailable or unreliable, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on alternative reputable price aggregators. Resolution will reflect the substantive loss of the peg, not momentary anomalies. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

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