Markets
Leaderboard
USDC to depeg from the US dollar (fall below $0.97) in 2026? Yes: real money 4%, play money 13% No: real money 96%, play money 87% Volume: real money 106.7571203, play money 10300.007 Bettors: real money 2, play money 2 Categories: Finance, Crypto, Cryptocurrencies, USDC Related markets Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026? (ID: 231765) Volume: real 640.92898739, play 68989.89904398 Bettors: real 30, play 77 Leading (real money): Kash Patel 66% Leading (play money): Kash Patel 70% Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections (ID: 211468) Volume: real 736.33367686, play 31583.12480585 Bettors: real 10, play 45 Leading (real money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 50% Leading (play money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 19% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2422.49475017, play 113871.83467419 Bettors: real 34, play 205 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 50% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 71% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 2962.18003222, play 136707.61608244 Bettors: real 26, play 206 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 50% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 57% Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 1935.24408401, play 35762.14306169 Bettors: real 18, play 81 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 50% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 42%

USDC to depeg from the US dollar (fall below $0.97) in 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether the USD Coin (USDC) stablecoin will lose its peg to the U.S. dollar at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). For this market, a depeg means that the market price of 1 USDC falls below $0.99 for a sustained period. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the USDC price data published by CoinGecko.

If CoinGecko data shows that USDC trades below $0.99 at any point during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Brief price deviations that immediately correct may require intent-based assessment by Futuur. If CoinGecko data becomes unavailable or unreliable, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on alternative reputable price aggregators. Resolution will reflect the substantive loss of the peg, not momentary anomalies. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

Tags

Related Markets