Will Palestine become a full member of the United Nations by the end of 2026?
Market Rules
This event predicts whether Palestine will be admitted as a full member state of the United Nations at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the official decision of the United Nations General Assembly admitting Palestine as a full member.
If the UN General Assembly admits Palestine as a full member state during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Observer state status or any status short of full membership will not count. If official UN documentation is unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international news organizations. Resolution will reflect the substantive admission outcome, not partial or interim statuses. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.