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Will Palestine become a full member of the United Nations by the end of 2026? Yes: real money 8%, play money 10% No: real money 92%, play money 90% Volume: real money 60.99200527, play money 4991.10156626 Bettors: real money 8, play money 10 Categories: Politics, Middle East, Israel Related markets Israel’s next prime minister after the 2026 election (ID: 238704) Volume: real 1096.451995, play 14738.94850103 Bettors: real 19, play 20 Leading (real money): Gadi Eisenkot 55% Leading (play money): Naftali Bennett 40% Will a US-Iran nuclear control deal be signed in 2026? (ID: 231622) Volume: real 478.53185416, play 74567.34467405 Bettors: real 13, play 22 Leading (real money): Will a US-Iran nuclear control deal be signed in 2026? 40% Leading (play money): Will a US-Iran nuclear control deal be signed in 2026? 52% Will Iran no longer be an Islamic Republic by the end of 2026? (ID: 231628) Volume: real 178.244711, play 14967.73463707 Bettors: real 11, play 27 Leading (real money): Will Iran no longer be an Islamic Republic by the end of 2026? 8% Leading (play money): Will Iran no longer be an Islamic Republic by the end of 2026? 14%

Will Palestine become a full member of the United Nations by the end of 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether Palestine will be admitted as a full member state of the United Nations at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the official decision of the United Nations General Assembly admitting Palestine as a full member.

If the UN General Assembly admits Palestine as a full member state during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Observer state status or any status short of full membership will not count. If official UN documentation is unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international news organizations. Resolution will reflect the substantive admission outcome, not partial or interim statuses. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

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