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Will Palestine become a full member of the United Nations by the end of 2026? Yes: real money 10%, play money 10% No: real money 90%, play money 90% Volume: real money 335.21332194, play money 34990.00265834 Bettors: real money 8, play money 9 Categories: Politics, Middle East, Israel Related markets Iran leadership change by...? (ID: 235762) Volume: real 476.81520334, play 45481.88447994 Bettors: real 16, play 18 Leading (real money): December 31 34% Leading (play money): December 31 31% Will a US-Iran nuclear control deal be signed in 2026? (ID: 231622) Volume: real 555.33083821, play 74919.34115262 Bettors: real 12, play 21 Leading (real money): Will a US-Iran nuclear control deal be signed in 2026? 67% Leading (play money): Will a US-Iran nuclear control deal be signed in 2026? 71% End of US military operation in Iran by ...? (ID: 237495) Volume: real 1005.78414485, play 45123.51135386 Bettors: real 27, play 18 Leading (real money): June 30 51% Leading (play money): June 30 68% Will Iran no longer be an Islamic Republic by the end of 2026? (ID: 231628) Volume: real 374.80702064, play 34964.48463707 Bettors: real 11, play 27 Leading (real money): Will Iran no longer be an Islamic Republic by the end of 2026? 10% Leading (play money): Will Iran no longer be an Islamic Republic by the end of 2026? 14%

Will Palestine become a full member of the United Nations by the end of 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether Palestine will be admitted as a full member state of the United Nations at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the official decision of the United Nations General Assembly admitting Palestine as a full member.

If the UN General Assembly admits Palestine as a full member state during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Observer state status or any status short of full membership will not count. If official UN documentation is unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international news organizations. Resolution will reflect the substantive admission outcome, not partial or interim statuses. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

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