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Will a new legislative election be called in France in 2026? Yes: real money 17%, play money 39% No: real money 83%, play money 61% Volume: real money 240.93439143, play money 8761.38908621 Bettors: real money 8, play money 5 Categories: Politics, Europe, France Related markets Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 3124.90544192, play 73650.36443242 Bettors: real 29, play 96 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 30% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 22% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2715.2344096, play 121371.10993985 Bettors: real 39, play 215 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 80% Control of the US Senate after the 2026 Elections (ID: 211467) Volume: real 5469.99001475, play 84877.21636313 Bettors: real 35, play 61 Leading (real money): Control of the US Senate after the 2026 Elections 35% Leading (play money): Control of the US Senate after the 2026 Elections 35% Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? (ID: 222362) Volume: real 1713.94325266, play 37150.61303342 Bettors: real 24, play 120 Leading (real money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 51% Leading (play money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 75%

Will a new legislative election be called in France in 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether France will officially call a new legislative election at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be an official decree or announcement by the French government or presidency calling new legislative elections.

If France officially issues a decree or announcement calling new legislative elections during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speculation, political debate, or non-binding statements will not count. If official decrees are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major French or international news organizations. Resolution will reflect the substantive act of calling elections, not discussions or intent. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

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